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附录⚓︎

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A. (2.22) 式的证明⚓︎

注意到两个行向量 \((n\) 维)

\[ \begin{aligned} & b_{1}^{\prime}=\left(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}, \frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}, \cdots, \frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}\right), \\ & b_{2}^{\prime}=\left(\frac{X_{1}-\bar{X}}{S_{x}}, \frac{X_{2}-\bar{X}}{S_{x}}, \cdots, \frac{X_{n}-\bar{X}}{S_{x}}\right) \end{aligned} \]

都是单位长 (注意 (2.16) 式) 且正交, 可以补充 \(n-2\) 个行向量 \(b_{3}^{\prime}\), \(\cdots, b_{n}^{\prime}\), 使方阵

\[ B=\left(\begin{array}{c} b_{1}^{\prime} \\ b_{2}^{\prime} \\ \vdots \\ b_{n}^{\prime} \end{array}\right) \]

为正交方阵.作变换

\[ \left(\begin{array}{c} Z_{1} \\ Z_{2} \\ \vdots \\ Z_{n} \end{array}\right)=B\left(\begin{array}{c} Y_{1} \\ Y_{2} \\ \vdots \\ Y_{n} \end{array}\right) \]

则因为 \(Y_{1}, Y_{1}, \cdots, Y_{n}\) 独立,各有方差为 \(\sigma^{2}\) 的正态分布,按第二 章的附录 A 中的引理的证法, 易证得 \(Z_{1}, \cdots, Z_{n}\), 也独立, 并各有 方差为 \(\sigma^{2}\) 的正态分布.

现证明:

\[ E\left(Z_{i}\right)=0, i \geqslant 3 \]

为此, 记 \(b_{i}^{\prime}=\left(b_{i 1}, \cdots, b_{i n}\right)\), 则

\[ \begin{aligned} E\left(Z_{i}\right) & =\sum_{j=1}^{n} b_{i j} E\left(Y_{j}\right)=\sum_{j=1}^{n} b_{i j}\left(\beta_{0}+\beta_{1}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right)\right) \\ & =\beta_{0} \sum_{j=1}^{n} b_{i j}+\beta_{1} \sum_{j=1}^{n} b_{i j}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right) \end{aligned} \]

因为 \(b_{i}\)\(b_{1}, b_{2}\) 都正交, 上式右边两个和都为 0 . 由此证明了(1) 式.

另外注意

\[ \begin{aligned} Z_{1} & =\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}\left(Y_{1}+\cdots+Y_{n}\right)=\sqrt{n} \bar{Y} \\ Z_{2} & =\frac{1}{S_{x}} \sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right) Y_{i} \\ Z_{2}^{2} & =\frac{1}{S_{x}^{2}} \sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right) Y_{i} \cdot \sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right) Y_{i} \\ & =\hat{\beta}_{1} \sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right) Y_{i} \end{aligned} \]

由于正交变换使平方和不变, 有

\[ \begin{aligned} & Y_{1}^{2}+\cdots+Y_{n}^{2}=Z_{1}^{2}+\cdots+Z_{n}^{2} \\ = & n \bar{Y}^{2}+\hat{\beta}_{1} \sum_{i=1}^{n}\left(X_{i}-\bar{X}\right) Y_{i}+\sum_{i=\mathbf{3}}^{n} Z_{i}^{2} \end{aligned} \]

将此式与 (2.23) 式结合, 得

\[ \sum_{i=1}^{n} \delta_{i}^{2}=\sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2}=\sigma^{2} \sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2} / \sigma^{2} \]

由于 \(Z_{3} / \sigma, Z_{4} / \sigma, \cdots, Z_{n} / \sigma\) 是独立同分布的 \(N(0,1)\) 变量, 有 \(\left(Z_{3}^{2}\right.\) \(\left.+\cdots+Z_{n}^{2}\right) / \sigma^{2}-\chi_{n-2}^{2}\). 于是证明了 \((2.22)\).

1. B.(2.16)式的证明⚓︎

由于 \(Z_{1}, Z_{2}, \cdots, Z_{n}\) 独立, 知 \(Z_{2}\)\(\sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2}\) 独立. 又 \(Z_{2}\) 为有方 差 \(\sigma^{2}\) 的正态分布而 \(\sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2} / \sigma^{2} \sim \chi_{n-2}^{2}\), 故按 \(t\) 分布的定义有

\[ \frac{Z_{2}-E\left(Z_{2}\right)}{\sigma} / \sqrt{\frac{1}{n-2} \frac{1}{\sigma^{2}} \sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2}} \sim t_{n-2} \]

\(\sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2} /(n-2)=\sum_{i=1}^{n} \delta_{i}^{2} /(n-2)=\hat{\sigma}^{2}\), 而因 \(E \hat{\beta}_{1}=\beta_{1}\), 有

\[ Z_{2}-E\left(Z_{2}\right)=\hat{\beta}_{1} S_{x}-E\left(\hat{\beta}_{1} S_{x}\right)=\left(\hat{\beta}_{1}-\beta_{1}\right) S_{x} \]

\[ \frac{Z_{2}-E\left(Z_{2}\right)}{\sigma} / \sqrt{\frac{1}{n-2} \frac{1}{\sigma^{2}} \sum_{i=3}^{n} Z_{i}^{2}}=\left(\hat{\beta}_{1}-\beta_{1}\right) /\left(\hat{\sigma} S_{x}^{-1}\right) \]

此式与 (2) 式结合, 即证明了 (2.26).

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